Dropping Silk Stockings Created an Oral Health Revolution (The Pattern of Disruption, Part 7)
For most of human history, it was not routine for people to brush their teeth. But by the 1960s, majorities of most Western countries had a daily oral hygiene routine. Because oral hygiene is so central to wider health, the mainstreaming of dental care had a huge impact on the …





Rethinking Humanity (latest book)
We are on the cusp of the fastest, deepest, most consequential transformation of human civilization in history.
How Energy Disruption Led to Russia-Ukraine Crisis – and How the Crisis Will Accelerate Disruption
Conventional analysts are looking at the Russian invasion of Ukraine through the lens of military strategy and geopolitical rivalry. But the invasion and its geopolitical consequences can only be properly understood in the context of wider transformations in the global economy, driven by disruptions unfolding across every major sector, namely, …
The Disruption of Slavery Unveils Fastest Path to End Today’s Wars (The Pattern of Disruption, Part 4)
We are now at a crossroads in history, and no path forward looks pleasant. The war in Ukraine is killing innocent civilians, disrupting lives, and shaking the markets in energy, food and other commodities, making us wonder how we let ourselves become so complacent in trading with Russia, whose government …
The UN climate panel still doesn’t understand technology – and it matters
With the Sixth Assessment Report of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) being released, it’s important to revisit the climate scenarios that are its centerpiece. These scenarios form the basis of the climate science community’s modeling and projections, which in turn affects governance and investment decisions across …
The UN climate panel still doesn’t understand technology – and it matters Read More »